The Coca-Cola 600 will get underway at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday on FOX, with Kyle Busch as the clear favorite (+250 betting odds).
Kevin Harvick (+600) and Martin Truex Jr. (+600) are not too far behind in what’s going to be the longest race of this year.
Nick Giffen utilizes his statistical model to handicap that the four best futures values from the race.
For the second successive weekend, the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series will be racing in Charlotte Motor Speedwday (6:00 p.m. ET, FOX). But this time instead of an All-Star shootout, motorists ‘ are in for a grueling 600 miles in the Cup Series’ longest race of this year.
Charlotte is a 1.5-mile oblong having a relatively old surface which was repaved back in 2006. We saw in the All-Star race which tires failed to make a difference and that track position was also extremely important, so this race should offer a great blend of numerous 1.5-mile tracks.
The most recent 1.5-mile points-paying race was also a night race in Kansas Speedwday. In that race, the top five in average green-flag speed all showed up at the top nine in 15-lap rate in Happy Hour, despite the race being during the nighttime and final practice throughout the day.
We’ve got a similar situation at Charlotte this weekend, so I will certainly rely on long-run speed along with 1.5-mile performance this season and beyond Charlotte oval functionality when handicapping the race.
Armed with these data points, let’s get right to my four favorite bets to win tonight’s race, plus bonus top-five and top-10 props.
A fast primer about the chances below: A $100 bet at +375 odds would profit $375, while a $200 bet at -200 odds would cover $100.
Kevin Harvick +600 to Win
Kyle Busch is your favorite as a result of his outstanding rate in Happy Hour and three wins to Harvick’s zero wins this season. However, it could be claimed that Harvick ought to be a co-favorite despite finishing only 13th on the 10-lap board in final practice.
That is because in opening practice, he had been much better relative to the rest of the area over 10 consecutive laps. His fifth-place time throughout the cooler temperatures is reassuring. In fact, Harvick’s Crew Chief Rodney Childers stated the cars are really sensitive to track changes, which they were really good in opening practice throughout the warmer temperatures.
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